Today's Slate
2026-04-19
Picks as of Apr 19, 12:41 PM
PHI @ BOS
Vegas PHI 3% · BOS
97% i
Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics
🏥 Injury Report
Joel Embiid
PHI 8 picks
- #12 Andre Drummond C PTS OVER 4.5 → 10.6 +6.1 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 10.6 pts (+6.1 edge vs line 4.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 9.2 pts — well above line (4.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 12.0 vs L5 avg 9.2 pts — trending up
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #16 VJ Edgecombe F PTS UNDER 12.5 → 7.9 -4.6 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 7.9 pts (-4.6 edge vs line 12.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 15.6 pts — well above line (12.5)
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #18 Dominick Barlow G PTS OVER 2.5 → 7.5 +5.0 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 7.5 pts (+5.0 edge vs line 2.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 4.8 pts — above line (2.5)
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #21 Quentin Grimes G PTS OVER 6.5 → 11.0 +4.5 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 11.0 pts (+4.5 edge vs line 6.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 11.8 pts — well above line (6.5)
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #37 Paul George G PTS UNDER 15.5 → 12.6 -2.9 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 12.6 pts (-2.9 edge vs line 15.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 11.0 pts — well below line (15.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 16.0 vs L5 avg 11.0 pts — trending up
- Sample size only 4 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #53 Tyrese Maxey G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Tough
- Rolling form L5 avg 27.0 pts — well above line (21.5)
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #55 Kelly Oubre Jr. G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Tough
- Rolling form L5 avg 17.2 pts — well above line (10.5)
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #56 Tyrese Maxey G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Tough
- Rolling form L5 avg 27.0 pts — well above line (22.5)
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
BOS 4 picks
- #7 Baylor Scheierman G PTS OVER 3.5 → 11.5 +8.0 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 11.5 pts (+8.0 edge vs line 3.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 16.5 pts — well above line (3.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 19.7 vs L5 avg 16.5 pts — trending up
- Sample size only 4 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #9 Derrick White G PTS UNDER 11.5 → 5.1 -6.4 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 5.1 pts (-6.4 edge vs line 11.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 6.8 pts — well below line (11.5)
- Sample size only 3 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #28 Payton Pritchard G PTS UNDER 11.5 → 8.2 -3.3 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 8.2 pts (-3.3 edge vs line 11.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 17.5 pts — well above line (11.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 14.7 vs L5 avg 17.5 pts — trending down
- Sample size only 3 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #57 Sam Hauser G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Tough
- Rolling form L5 avg 11.5 pts — well above line (5.5)
- Sample size only 3 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
PHX @ OKC
Vegas PHX 11% · OKC
89% i
Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
🏥 Injury Report
Thomas Sorber
Grayson Allen
Mark Williams
PHX 2 picks
- #3 Devin Booker G PTS UNDER 19.5 → 7.9 -11.6 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 7.9 pts (-11.6 edge vs line 19.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 15.8 pts — well below line (19.5)
- Sample size only 4 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #14 Dillon Brooks G PTS UNDER 12.5 → 7.4 -5.1 Marginal ⚠ Thin Tough
- Model projection projects 7.4 pts (-5.1 edge vs line 12.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 14.6 pts — above line (12.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 11.0 vs L5 avg 14.6 pts — trending down
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
OKC 1 pick
- #32 Luguentz Dort G PTS OVER 5.5 → 8.2 +2.7 Marginal ⚠ Thin Hostile
- Model projection projects 8.2 pts (+2.7 edge vs line 5.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 6.8 pts — above line (5.5)
- Sample size only 4 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
ORL @ DET
Vegas ORL 24% · DET
76% Model 16% / 84%
Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons
Total 230.3 vs Vegas 220.0
⚡ Moderate blowout risk (33%)
ORL +1.7 DET +0.7
🏥 Injury Report
Jonathan Isaac
ORL 6 picks
- #13 Paolo Banchero F PTS UNDER 17.5 → 12.3 -5.2 Marginal ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 12.3 pts (-5.2 edge vs line 17.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 20.0 pts — above line (17.5)
- Sample size only 7 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #23 Jalen Suggs G PTS OVER 10.5 → 14.3 +3.8 Marginal ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 14.3 pts (+3.8 edge vs line 10.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 12.4 pts — above line (10.5)
- Sample size only 6 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #27 Wendell Carter Jr. F PTS OVER 7.5 → 10.8 +3.3 Marginal ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 10.8 pts (+3.3 edge vs line 7.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 7.8 pts — near line (7.5)
- Sample size only 7 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #40 Desmond Bane G PTS UNDER 15.5 → 14.0 -1.5 Marginal ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 14.0 pts (-1.5 edge vs line 15.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 15.0 pts — near line (15.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 18.3 vs L5 avg 15.0 pts — trending up
- Sample size only 7 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #44 Franz Wagner G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 16.0 pts (+1.5 edge vs line 14.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 18.4 pts — well above line (14.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #45 Anthony Black G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 10.0 pts (+1.5 edge vs line 8.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 9.6 pts — above line (8.5)
- Sample size only 7 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
DET 4 picks
- #6 Cade Cunningham F PTS UNDER 22.5 → 11.5 -11.0 Marginal ⚠ Thin Hostile
- Model projection projects 11.5 pts (-11.0 edge vs line 22.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 18.8 pts — well below line (22.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 11.3 vs L5 avg 18.8 pts — trending down
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #36 Tobias Harris G PTS OVER 10.5 → 12.5 +2.0 Marginal ⚠ Thin Hostile
- Model projection projects 12.5 pts (+2.0 edge vs line 10.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 14.2 pts — well above line (10.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #39 Duncan Robinson G PTS OVER 8.5 → 10.3 +1.8 Marginal ⚠ Thin Hostile
- Model projection projects 10.3 pts (+1.8 edge vs line 8.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 14.8 pts — well above line (8.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #50 Ausar Thompson G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Hostile
- Rolling form L5 avg 9.4 pts — above line (7.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
POR @ SAS
Vegas POR 18% · SAS
82% Model 1% / 99%
Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs
Total 233.6 vs Vegas 222.0
⚡ High blowout risk (49%)
POR +2.6 SAS +3.6
🏥 Injury Report
Damian Lillard
David Jones
Jordan McLaughlin
POR 5 picks
- #30 Donovan Clingan C PTS OVER 7.5 → 10.2 +2.7 Marginal ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 10.2 pts (+2.7 edge vs line 7.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 11.8 pts — well above line (7.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #35 Deni Avdija F PTS UNDER 19.5 → 17.4 -2.1 Marginal ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 17.4 pts (-2.1 edge vs line 19.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 29.0 pts — well above line (19.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 33.7 vs L5 avg 29.0 pts — trending up
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #43 Toumani Camara G PTS OVER 9.5 → 11.1 +1.6 Marginal ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 11.1 pts (+1.6 edge vs line 9.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 11.2 pts — above line (9.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #47 Scoot Henderson G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 8.7 pts (+1.2 edge vs line 7.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 12.8 pts — well above line (7.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #49 Jrue Holiday G PTS Pass Pass ⚠ Thin Favorable
- Model projection projects 11.5 pts (-1.0 edge vs line 12.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 17.0 pts — well above line (12.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
SAS 5 picks
- #8 Dylan Harper G PTS OVER 6.5 → 12.7 +6.2 Marginal ⚠ Thin Elite Spot
- Model projection projects 12.7 pts (+6.2 edge vs line 6.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 12.8 pts — well above line (6.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #20 Devin Vassell G PTS OVER 9.5 → 13.6 +4.1 Marginal ⚠ Thin Elite Spot
- Model projection projects 13.6 pts (+4.1 edge vs line 9.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 11.6 pts — above line (9.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #33 Keldon Johnson G PTS OVER 8.5 → 10.8 +2.3 Marginal ⚠ Thin Elite Spot
- Model projection projects 10.8 pts (+2.3 edge vs line 8.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 15.8 pts — well above line (8.5)
- Recent trend L3 avg 18.3 vs L5 avg 15.8 pts — trending up
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #41 Julian Champagnie F PTS OVER 7.5 → 9.1 +1.6 Marginal ⚠ Thin Elite Spot
- Model projection projects 9.1 pts (+1.6 edge vs line 7.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 7.8 pts — near line (7.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal
- #42 De'Aaron Fox G PTS UNDER 14.5 → 12.9 -1.6 Marginal ⚠ Thin Elite Spot
- Model projection projects 12.9 pts (-1.6 edge vs line 14.5)
- Rolling form L5 avg 20.0 pts — well above line (14.5)
- Sample size only 5 game(s) of history — projection less reliable (floor is 8); band capped at Marginal